Sunday, October 18, 2015

Your County Has Less Than Three Months to Take Charge of Its Own Destiny





Do you know people (friends, neighbors, students, the elderly) or businesses that cannot get internet? 

Or those whose access is so slow and so expensive that in makes them furious? I do. 

95 Tennessee counties are like that!


While the rest of the developed world has access to High-speed internet and Broadband, the bulk of our entire nation does not!. And, unfortunately neither does Tennessee.

IN FACT, There are only seven (7) communities* in all of Tennessee that have taken charge of their own destinies to install High-speed Internet and Broadband – and all of them have prospered as a result.

Why is that? Why them and not us?

The remaining cities within the 95 Tennessee counties are prevented from doing the same thing by STATE law, not federal. As a result, rural communities are at a serious disadvantage when it comes to a) attracting new business to the area, b)providing internet access to students in their homes, c) having the benefit of connectivity in individual homes.

"You have communities that can provide broadband to their neighbors, but state law doesn't allow it," she said. "If you want Tennessee to be a global player, you want everybody to have access."
Debra Socia Executive Director, Next Century Cities *

In THREE MONTHS (3), we can change all that. A bill going through the legislature in Nashville in January will permit all local electric utilities to build and operate their own fiber optic systems to deliver High-speed internet and Broadband to their customers – and beyond.

Here's how it works currently. The seven communities' electric utilities installed their fiber optic systems to serve their customers. They were allowed to serve only their existing customers in what they call their footprint.

Each one of those Fiber Optic installations can serve hundreds of thousands of homes and businesses and the only thing preventing them is a law in Nashville – a law that needs changing.

Morristown, for example, can only serve the few thousand utility customers. It cannot ever serve the homes and businesses in its own county! Morristown's system could serve all of Hamblen County, Jefferson County, Grainger County and Cocke County and still have room for more. The benefit to all those counties is that they don't have to spend millions of dollars to build their own systems. All each county has to do is invest to install fiber-optic cable throughout the community and connect! Then they can buy the services directly at wholesale.

Here's what the initial investment meant to Morristown's residents. Residents got high higher speeds from their internet for way less money per month than retail carriers like Charter and AT&T. Businesses got the kind of speed to make them competitive anywhere in the world, and the capacity to grow even more. The city added hundred of new jobs in the area, employing people from adjacent counties as well. Morristown's schools are hooked up to the fastest Fiber-optic system in East Tennessee.

Bringing High-speed Internet to the adjacent communities makes a level playing field when it comes to attracting new businesses. And, that helps the entire region.
The THREAT to all this!
When the bill to permit all the state's electric utilities to expand their footprint, to offer their services to the surrounding counties is introduced it will go up against two other competing bills, one that is written by AT&T and the other by Charter. Both are seeking to maintain the status quo, to keep everything in Tennessee as it is.

That means no service to areas that don't have it. Students will still go to school, where they have internet, then go either to the local library, McDonald's or other fast food establishments for internet access. If they go to the library, they have to stand in line for computer time and be limited to thirty minutes at a time when things are busy.

That means businesses will be stuck with systems that continue to make them less competitive or, in some cases, not competitive at all. Some small business owners will have to go to the library or McDonald's to check their emails for orders, then return to their shops to fill them. They can't connect with their FED-X or UPS to schedule deliveries from their stores, so they have to drive to where there is wi-fi.

In a phrase, with the systems that rural community has, the only winners are:
  • the current internet suppliers who have no competition. They can provide lousy services at outrageous prices and get away with it.
  • The competitors our local businesses have to contend with every day

THE FIX:
All of us in our communities can fix this by
  • going in groups to County Commission meetings to demand they put pressure on our reps in Nashville
  • Writing, e-mailing, and calling our local Senators and Representatives to reinforce the reality that we voted them in to represent our interests, and we can vote them out.
  • Going to town hall meetings when the legislators pop into town as a group (there's power in numbers) to let them know who we are, what we want and that we're watching.
  • Meeting neighbors to spread the word and build a movement in which as many people as possible commit to do what's outlined in the first three bullet points above.

There are two issues here. One of them is sovereignty, the right for us to control our own destinies. Local is where the law has its effects, so local is where the decisions should be made. Tell Nashville to get out of the way and let our counties join the real world.

The other is public versus private. Private enterprise has had decades to do what we are asking. They didn't. It's not who they are or what they do. It's the dog and the scorpion (see below). The internet is no longer a nicety. It is a necessity, a vital part of all our lives. It is for all intents and purposes a public utility. And, it should be treated as such.

*BRISTOL, MORRISTOWN, CHATTANOOGA, JACKSON, CLARKSVILLE, PULASKI, AND TULLAHOMA

State legislators who are actively promoting Fiber-optic networks for all include:
State Senators Janice Bowling of Tullahoma (TN 16) the bill's author
State Representatives Kevin Brooks of Cleveland Bradley County
Dan Howell of Cleveland Bradley County 

"EPB could service 1,000 people in that part of rural Bradley within 90 days," Howell said. "These are people who do not currently have anything but dial-up."*
*Source: http://www.timesfreepress.com/news/business/aroundregion/story/2015/oct/08/cleveland-lawmakers-push-law-extend-epb-bound/329321/


Think of it as the dog (customer) and the scorpion (ISP), together on one side of the river. 

The scorpion says ever so gently to the dog, “Please, I need your help. I must cross the river. I have urgent business on the other side. But the river is moving way too fast and I fear I can’t get across on my own. Can you take me there on your back?”

But you’re a scorpion. Your venom is fatal. Why would I do that?”

I promise I won’t sting you. Look, I only ask for safe passage to the other side. That’s all. Trust me.”

Safely ensconced atop the dog’s head and just barely above the waves, the scorpion watches as the shore comes ever closer. Within yards of landfall, his pincer penetrates the dog's skull and, immediately, its paws cease their strokes.

Why did you do that?,” the dogs asks plaintively, as his body starts to roll with the waves. “Now we’re both going to die.”

Yes, replies the passenger. I’m a scorpion. It’s what I do.”

                                                          ------------------------------ 
 
 


Senator R/D

District Map e-mail Phone

Bailey, Paul R

District 15 sen.paul.bailey@capitol.tn.gov (615) 741-3978

Beavers, Mae R

District 17

(615) 741-2421

Bell, Mike R

District 9  

(615) 741-1946

Bowling, Janice R

District 16

(615) 741-6694

Briggs, Richard R

District 7  

(615) 741-1766

Crowe, Rusty R

District 3  

(615) 741-2468

Dickerson, Steven R

District 20

(615) 741-6679

Gardenhire, Todd R

District 10

(615) 741-6682

Green, Mark R

District 22

(615) 741-2374

Gresham, Dolores R

District 26

(615) 741-2368

Haile, Ferrell R

District 18

(615) 741-1999

Harper, Thelma D

District 19

(615) 741-2453

Harris, Lee D

District 29

(615) 741-1767

Hensley, Joey R

District 28

(615) 741-3100

Jackson, Ed R

District 27

(615) 741-1810

Johnson, Jack R

District 23

(615) 741-2495

Kelsey, Brian R

District 31

(615) 741-3036

Ketron, Bill R

District 13

(615) 741-6853

Kyle, Sara D

Dist. 30

(615) 741-4167

Massey, Becky Duncan R

District 6  

(615) 741-1648

McNally, Randy R

District 5  

(615) 741-6806

Niceley, Frank S. R

District 8   sen.frank.niceley@capitol.tn.gov (615) 741-2061

Norris, Mark R

District 32
(615) 741-1967

Overbey, Doug R

District 2  

(615) 741-0981

Ramsey, Lt. Gov. Ron R

District 4  

(615) 741-4524

Roberts, Kerry R

District 25

(615) 741-4499

Southerland, Steve R

District 1  

(615) 741-3851

Stevens, John R

District 24

(615) 741-4576

Tate, Reginald D

District 33

(615) 741-2509

Tracy, Jim R

District 14

(615) 741-1066

Watson, Bo R

District 11

(615) 741-3227

Yager, Ken R

District 12

(615) 741-1449

Yarbro, Jeff D

District 21

(615) 741-3291



Email Representative R/D

District Map e-mail Phone


Akbari, Raumesh D

District 91

(615) 741-3830


Alexander, David R

District 39

(615) 741-8695


Armstrong, Joe E. D

District 15

(615) 741-0768


Beck, Bill D

District 51

(615) 741-3229    

Brooks, Harry R

District 19

(615) 741-6879

Brooks, Kevin R

District 24

(615) 741-1350

Butt, Sheila R

District 64

(615) 741-3005

Byrd, David R

District 71

(615) 741-2190

Calfee, Kent R

District 32

(615) 741-7658

Camper, Karen D. D

District 87

(615) 741-1898

Carr, Dale R

District 12

(615) 741-5981

Carter, Mike R

District 29

(615) 741-3025

Casada, Glen R

District 63

(615) 741-4389

Clemmons, John Ray D

District 55

(615) 741-4410

Coley, Jim R

District 97

(615) 741-8201

Cooper, Barbara D

District 86

(615) 741-4295

Daniel, Martin R

District 18

(615) 741-2287

DeBerry, John J., Jr. D

District 90

(615) 741-2239

Doss, Barry R

District 70

(615) 741-7476

Dunlap, Kevin D

District 43

(615) 741-1963

Dunn, Bill R

District 16

(615) 741-1721

Durham, Jeremy R

District 65

(615) 741-1864

Eldridge, Jimmy A. R

District 73

(615) 741-7475

Faison, Jeremy R

District 11 Rep.jeremy.faison@capitol.tn.gov (615) 741-6871

Farmer, Andrew R

District 17

(615) 741-4419

Favors, JoAnne D

District 28

(615) 741-2702

Fitzhugh, Craig D

District 82

(615) 741-2134

Forgety, John R

District 23

(615) 741-1725

Gilmore, Brenda D

District 54

(615) 741-1997

Goins, Tilman R

District 10

(615) 741-6877

Gravitt, Marc R

District 30

(615) 741-1934

Halford, Curtis R

District 79

(615) 741-7478

Hardaway, G. A. D

District 93

(615) 741-5625

Harrison, Mike R

District 9  

(615) 741-7480

Harwell, Speaker Beth R

District 56

(615) 741-0709

Hawk, David R

District 5  

(615) 741-7482

Hazlewood, Patsy R

District 27

(615) 741-2746

Hill, Matthew R

District 7  

(615) 741-2251

Hill, Timothy R

District 3  

(615) 741-2050

Holsclaw, Jr., John B. R

District 4  

(615) 741-7450

Holt, Andy H. R

District 76

(615) 741-7847

Howell, Dan R

District 22

(615) 741-7799

Hulsey, Bud R

District 2  

(615) 741-2886

Jernigan, Darren D

District 60

(615) 741-6959

Johnson, Curtis G. R

District 68

(615) 741-4341

Jones, Sherry D

District 59

(615) 741-2035

Kane, Roger R

District 89

(615) 741-4110

Keisling, Kelly R

District 38

(615) 741-6852

Kumar, Sabi R

District 66

(615) 741-2860

Lamberth, William R

District 44

(615) 741-1980

Littleton, Mary R

District 78

(615) 741-7477

Lollar, Ron R

District 99

(615) 741-7084

Love, Harold M., Jr. D

District 58

(615) 741-3831

Lundberg, Jon R

District 1  

(615) 741-7623

Lynn, Susan R

District 57

(615) 741-7462

Marsh, Pat R

District 62

(615) 741-6824

Matheny, Judd R

District 47

(615) 741-7448

Matlock, Jimmy R

District 21

(615) 741-3736

McCormick, Gerald R

District 26

(615) 741-2548

McDaniel, Steve R

District 72

(615) 741-0750

McManus, Steve R

District 96

(615) 741-1920

Miller, Larry J. D

District 88

(615) 741-4453

Mitchell, Bo D

District 50

(615) 741-4317

Moody, Debra R

District 81

(615) 741-3774

Parkinson, Antonio D

District 98

(615) 741-4575

Pitts, Joe D

District 67

(615) 741-2043

Pody, Mark R

District 46

(615) 741-7086

Powell, Jason D

District 53

(615) 741-6861

Powers, Dennis R

District 36

(615) 741-3335

Ragan, John R

District 33

(615) 741-4400

Ramsey, Bob R

District 20

(615) 741-3560

Reedy, Jay D. R

District 74

(615) 741-7098

Rogers, Courtney R

District 45

(615) 741-3893

Sanderson, Bill R

District 77

(615) 741-0718

Sargent, Charles R

District 61

(615) 741-6808

Sexton, Cameron R

District 25

(615) 741-2343

Sexton, Jerry R

District 35 (615) 741-2534

Shaw, Johnny D

District 80

(615) 741-4538

Shepard, David D

District 69

(615) 741-3513

Smith, Eddie R

District 13

(615) 741-2031

Sparks, Mike R

District 49

(615) 741-6829

Spivey, Billy R

District 92

(615) 741-4170

Stewart, Mike D

District 52

(615) 741-2184

Swann, Art R

District 8  

(615) 741-5481

Terry, Bryan R

District 48

(615) 741-2180

Todd, Curry R

District 95

(615) 741-1866

Towns, Joe, Jr. D

District 84

(615) 741-2189

Travis, Ron R

District 31

(615) 741-1450

Turner, Johnnie D

District 85

(615) 741-6954

Van Huss, James (Micah) R

District 6  

(615) 741-1717

Weaver, Terri Lynn R

District 40

(615) 741-2192

White, Dawn R

District 37

(615) 741-6849

White, Mark R

District 83

(615) 741-4415

Wilburn, Leigh R

District 94

(615) 741-6890

Williams, Ryan R

District 42

(615) 741-1875

Windle, John Mark D

District 41

(615) 741-1260

Wirgau, Tim R

District 75

(615) 741-6804

Womick, Rick R

District 34

(615) 741-2804

Zachary, Jason R

District 14

(615) 741-2264


Monday, October 12, 2015

Auto Sales Will Plummet by 2030 and Employment Along With It


The age of the self driving vehicle is upon us, and with it an unprecedented change in lifestyles. Every major car manufacturer is investing in self driving vehicles because they're game changers in the arena of personal mobility, and it goes beyond people enjoying the freedom car ownership affords.

First, there's the novelty of it all, as newcomers to the industry like Google roll out their offerings, about the same time Mercedes does theirs. The Google car is tiny, in a cutesy kind of way. The Mercedes, ever the luxury vehicle, looks like an upscale living room on wheels, complete with entertainment consoles. Consumers will have their choices, from inexpensive to posh. But it doesn't stop there.

Savvy entrepreneurs will realize a critical truth that most of us have long accepted as gospel. Everyone has a personal vehicle, and some families have two or more. But where do they go on any given day? To the parking lot at work, wherever that might be. While owners are working, their cars sit idle. People return home and park them again, in a garage or curbside, no matter. Then there are the errands and, if they're lucky the owners go on vacations, one of the only times cars are driven for an extended period.

Enter the entrepreneur who looks at the total costs that people incur for that freedom and say, what if Lois, or Jim could pass on car ownership but keep their freedom. What if Mary could call up a vehicle on her smart phone, much like her friends in the city who call up their Uber taxi, or one of their competitors, like Lift. Or, they could pick up a Zip car parked nearby, take it to their destination and leave it for the next guy.

Suddenly, there is no need for personalized ownership. All the freedom one wants is still there, but without the gas, the oil changes, tires, insurance and big-ticket maintenance. No need for an empty vehicle depreciating in the parking lot. A call is made, and the vehicle announces its arrival on the consumer's smart phone. At a time when wages are continuing their seemingly inexorable decline, not having a car payment and other auto-related expenses makes other priorities possible. Young people will find it easier to own homes, take vacations, and live better quality lives.

Uber fleets will no longer need drivers. They no longer need any humans. Unless, of course, they want investors of a sort.Their value in the economic chain is their communication network that links drivers and fares. The drivers signal when they're free and Uber sends them the next available fare. Uber doesn't own vehicles. The drivers do. But if there are no drivers, can those people, instead of being out of work, still buy their own vehicles and do the Uber thing, without actually being there? Uber still gets its cut, without the burden of car expenses, maintenance, insurance, etc.

Millions of fewer cars needed. If cars can serve their function with 90% utilization instead of ten percent, imagine how many fewer vehicles will be needed. Initially, Americans will be reluctant to give up their personal vehicles, equating such a move to giving their freedom of mobility. They might imagine what it costs to take a traditional taxi, and the uneasy feeling of having to wait for the ride.

Stop thinking for a moment of what it costs to take a taxi. The efficiencies of self driving will drastically cut the cost per use. Imagine what it costs to own a car today. Consumer reports estimate the following:

“Over the first five years of ownership, the median car costs more than $9,100 a year to own—about what it costs to own a midsized SUV such as the Nissan Murano or an upscale sedan such as the Lexus ES. But it's easy to find nice cars that cost much less. Sporty cars such as the base Mini Cooper can cost as little as $5,800 a year to own. Even a quick, refined, and roomy small SUV such as the V6-powered Toyota RAV4 costs as little as $7,800 a year to own.”
That's $650/on the low side and as much as $758 per month, median price (half the cars cost more than that and half cost less). Uber may still want to have private owners like they do now. And, the benefit to the owners is that they don't have to sit behind a wheel. They can buy more than one and create a passive income stream. Or not. Uber may invest in their own vehicles and fight with other competitors.

Currently, the average taxi driver makes just under $30,000/year, more than twice the poverty level for a single person (You try living on that). Uber, on the other hand, reports its drivers earn $90,000/year because they have greater efficiencies and don't pay many of the fees that taxi companies shoulder.
http://www.businessinsider.com/uber-drivers-salary-90000-2014-5. Even with the 20%cut  they pay to Uber, it's a sizable paycheck. High tech workers make just over $88,000.

And, as more and more multi-use cars become available and competition increases, the economics of not owning will be increasingly attractive. Competition in the future may come in the form of 'local' cabbies who create their own apps and promote buying local. Profits stay local, with no money going to a corporate giant in some city far away. The ride has a social aspect associated with it.

It's not just cars.

It's over-the-road semis, the same ones that are currently used 'part time' because human drivers are limited by law as to how many hours they can drive for safety reasons. And it's local delivery trucks. The change to self driving vehicles will permit 24/7 operations, minus time for routine maintenance.

The point is that, as self driving vehicles replace human driven ones, their usage will be limited only by day-to-day consumer demand and downtime for routine maintenance. Fewer vehicles = fewer manufacturing jobs, fewer ancillary jobs, but safer highways.

By 2030, self driving vehicles will have changed the economic and social landscape for us all. And, if they're electric, the carbon footprint will be markedly altered for the better.

MADD Will Find Relief
Self driving vehicles are a boon to society in other ways as well. Drivers who would operate under the influence are no longer threats to themselves and others. The elderly, who succumb physically and emotionally due to their lack of mobility after losing driving privileges, will no longer experience such losses. Children can go about their business, freeing up their 'soccer moms'. You have to wonder, what will become of public parking garages when such needs are no longer there? And, what will we do with our attached garages?

Now, about them jobs.....

  • How many trucks operate in the U.S.?
    Estimates of 15.5 million trucks operate in the U.S.. Of this figure 2 million are tractor trailers.
  • How many truckers are there?
    It is an estimated over 3.5 million truck drivers in the U.S.  Of that one in nine are independent, a majority of which are owner operators. Canada has in excess of 250,000 truck drivers.

  • Number of taxi drivers (2012) 233,000 Median wage, ($22,820/yr, $10.97/hr.)That's a far cry from the income reported above by Business Insider but, for the purpose of this article, it's not a major concern. Drivers are going away either way.
It's not just the 3.8 million drivers. It's the families they support, and the local businesses they frequent. This will change the entire nature of truck stops. Three and a half million drivers eat a lot of food, buy lots of general merchandise, and use truck stop showers, frequent low-cost hotels.

Consider, too, the purchasing habits of consumers on trips if small refrigerators and microwaves are on board. Sure, there's still a need to stop and stretch and relief, but less of a need for fast food and snacks. And, who's to say a toilet may not be part of later models, especially those designed for distance driving.

Finally, consider that driver's licenses will no longer be necessary. Will some sort of personal identification be mandated in their place? Will there even be a need for motor vehicle registrations if such things can be done electronically at the initial point of sale? Will license plates even be necessary if a designation is embedded in the vehicles software and can be read as easily as a retail item can be identified using radio frequency ID (rfid)?

Imagine your children never experiencing life behind the wheel, or your stress in having to teach them. Imagine, too, the freedom it affords all of you. Driving is replaced by reading, writing, texting, watching videos or playing board games. Imagine the drives to work on California highways. Will you be able to claim drive time as part of your work day? Can you ask for shorter hours at the office, or overtime pay at time and a half?

The full implications of a driverless world have yet to be discovered. Feel free to add your thoughts.